Oscar Predictions

The Oscars start in about an hour.  Figured I’d better get my review up before it’s too late.  I, for one, can’t wait until the show starts.  I’ve been fortunate to see many of the movies that have been nominated.  I had wanted to see the short films this year, but didn’t have a chance to see them.  I’m not going to go through every award, but I’ll do the majority of them. Many of the races are close this year, especially Best Picture.  Without further ado…

 

Best Achievement in Visual Effects:

Nominations are Gravity, The Hobbit, Iron Man 3, The Lone Ranger and Star Trek Into Darkness.  I’m going with Gravity.  I suspect most of the visual awards will go to Gravity.  The Hobbit was great visually as well, but nothing compares to Gravity.  If you didn’t see it in IMAX 3D, you missed out.

Best Achievement in Sound Editing:

Nominations are All is Lost, Captain Phillips, Gravity, The Hobbit and Lone Survivor.  I’m guessing Gravity will win most of the sound awards too.  However, all the nominations in this category are very strong.  

Best Achievement in Sound Mixing:

Honestly not sure why we need two sound categories.  All the nominees are the same except for Inside Llewyn Davis replaced All is Lost.  I’m assuming that’s a music thing.  Llewyn Davis has great music, but I’m guessing Gravity wins this as well.

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures:

Nominations are Despicable Me 2, Frozen, Mandela and Her.  I love the “Happy” song from Despicable Me 2.  Bono has won a few awards for Mandela.  However, I’m guessing Frozen wins as I think Frozen  will win a few awards tonight.

Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score:

Nominations are The Book Theif, Gravity, Her, Saving Mr. Banks and Philomena.  Tough call on this one.  I loved the score in Her.  Philomena had great music as well.  I’m going with Philomena because I think the Academy will reward this movie in a category like this because it will probably be shut out of the main categories.

Best Achievement in Makeup and Hairstyling:

Nominations are Dallas Buyers Club, Bad Grandpa and The Lone Ranger.  No way the Academy gives an Oscar to Jackass.  Just don’t see that happening.  I’m picking Dallas Buyers Club for this one.  The makeup was phenomenal considering all the people that were sick in the movie.

Best Achievement in Costume Design:

Nominations are American Hustle, The Great Gatsby, 12 Years a Slave, The Grandmaster and The Invisible Woman.  I must admit that I haven’t seen The Grandmaster or The Invisible Woman.  With that being said, I’m picking American Hustle.  I think this is another spot for the Academy to reward a great movie that might not win any of the big awards.

Best Achievement in Production Design:

Nominations are 12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, Gravity, The Great Gastby and Her.  This is a tough call.  All good movies.  I believe 12 Years a Slave will win this one.  I don’t think Great Gatsby or Her really have much of a chance to win anything.  I could be wrong, but that’s just what I’m guessing.

Best Achievement in Editing:

Nominations are 12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, Gravity, Captain Phillips and Dallas Buyers Club.  I’m going Gravity on this one.  A lot of Gravity was CG, but the editing had to have been a heck of a task.  I could see Captain Phillips winning this too as another reward type of thing.  But, I’m going with Gravity.

Best Achievement in Cinematography:

Nominations are Gravity, Inside Llewyn Davis, Nebraska, Prisoners and The Grandmaster.  Personally I believe that All is Lost should have been nominated in this category.  Sadly it was not.  I would love to see Roger Deakins win this for Prisoners.  He’s been nominated a TON of times, but has never won.  However, I’m guessing Gravity will win.

 

I’m skipping Best Foreign Language Film as I haven’t seen any of them.  I’m also skipping Best Animated Film as I’ve only seen Despicable Me 2.  However, I would guess that Frozen is going to win that.

 

Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produces or Published:

Nominations are Before Midnight, Captain Phillips, 12 Years a Slave, The Wolf of Wall Street and Philomena.  Honestly, I was not impressed with Before Midnight.  I’d rather call it “Let’s Watch 2 People Argue for 2 Hours.”  I’m guessing 12 Years a Slave wins this one.

Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen:

Nominations are American Hustle, Blue Jasmine, Her, Nebraska and Dallas Buyers Club.  This is a super tough one for me.  I’m split between Blue Jasmine and Dallas Buyers Club.  I’m leaning towards Dallas Buyers Club.  That movie was truly amazing and deserves to win a few awards for sure.

Best Achievement in Directing:

Nominations are Alfonso Cuaron, Steve McQueen, David O. Russell, Martin Scorsese and Alexander Payne.  All these guys are deserving.  I’m going with Alfonso Cuaron because Gravity was so revolutionary.  I’ve never seen anything like it before.  I wouldn’t be upset with any of them winning though.  Steve McQueen is definitely winning an Oscar before his career is over.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role:

Nominations are Sally Hawkins, Julia Roberts, Lupita Nyong’o, Jennifer Lawrence and June Squibb.  I’ve seen all of these except for Blue Jasmine (Sally Hawkins).  I suspect Lupita Nyong’o will win this.  She’s won quite a few of the awards so far.  It wouldn’t totally surprise me if Jennfier Lawrence won, but I feel like Nyong’o is going to win.  Both of them were great, but I can’t fathom how Nyong’o did that.  12 Years a Slave was a truly emotional movie.  I was worked up watching it, so I can’t imagine being anyone who acted in it.  Truly remarkable.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role:

Nominations are Barkhad Abdi, Bradley Cooper, Jonah Hill, Michael Fassbender and Jared Leto.  This is not a tough one.  Jared Leto is taking this one.  There shouldn’t be much doubt about that.  Fassbender was truly great with his evil character in 12 Years a Slave.  And Abdi, Hill and Cooper were all good as well.  But, this was a performance of a lifetime for Leto.  If he doesn’t win, it’ll be the biggest surprise of the show.  This was another performance that I can’t even comprehend.  There are performances that are great and then there are this.  Congrats to Mr. Leto (yes I’m congratulating him before he wins).

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role:

Nominations are Amy Adams, Cate Blanchett, Sandra Bullock, Judi Dench and Meryl Streep.  I haven’t seen Blue Jasmine, so it’s hard for me to completely judge this category.  I’m picking Cate Blanchett simply because she has won early every award show so far.  However, Sandra Bullock and Meryl Streep were great.  I think Bullock was much better in Gravity than she was in The Blind Side (which she won an Oscar for).  While I didn’t love August: Osage County, Streep was fantastic in it.  She played a pretty screwed up older woman with cancer.  And I can’t imagine anyone else in that role.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role:

Nominations are Christian Bale, Bruce Dern, Leonardo DiCaprio, Chiwetel Ejiofor and Matthew McConaughey.  This might be a tight race, but it shouldn’t be.  I honestly loved all these performances.  Bale’s hair was fantastic as were his mannerisms.  I loved Bruce Dern in Nebraska as he played an older man who was kind of losing it a bit.  DiCaprio was spot on as usual.  And Ejiofor was fantastic in 12 Years a Slave.  With all that being said, McConaughey had better win this one.  I’ll be most disappointed if he doesn’t win.  I never really gave McConaughey a ton of credit for his acting ability until I saw Mud.  Then came Dallas Buyers Club.  WOW!  He was amazing.  One of the best performances I’ve ever seen.  Absolutely a must see.

Best Motion Picture of the Year:

Nominations are American Hustle, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, Gravity, Her, Nebraska, Philomena, 12 Years a Slave and The Wolf of Wall Street.  I wasn’t a huge fan of Captain Phillips.  It was good, but just didn’t feel like an Oscar-winning type of movie to me.  The other 8 movies were fantastic.  Her was so interesting because it felt as if that’s where our world is heading in about 10 years.  Nebraska and Philomena were movies for a mostly older crowd.  However, they both had more comedy in them than I expected.  The Wolf of Wall Street was a wild ride.  If you don’t mind language, drug use and some nudity, you’ll really enjoy this movie.  American Hustle was a very interesting story that keep you watching.  The cast for that one was amazing.  Dallas Buyers Club was probably my 2nd favorite of the 9.  I loved it and the acting was the best I’ve seen.  This movie better win something.  That brings me to the 2 movies that I suspect have the best chances.  12 Years a Slave was a remarkable period piece.  There were times when it was hard to watch.  The amazing thing is that this kind of thing actually happened.  That made it tough at times.  Gravity was my favorite movie and the one I want to win.  It was truly a movie experience.  Everything about this movie was fantastic.  It really did seem like I was watching a movie filmed in space.  I’m guessing 12 Years a Slave will win.  And I won’t be disappointed by that.  But I’m holding out hope that Gravity wins.

 

Well, enjoy the show.  It should be great.  Feel free to post your picks if you’d like.  Have a great night.

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